Unstable Pres. Erdogan´s Ottoman Obsession, His Big Mouth and Fear for His Position the Greatest Dangers to World Peace

Abstract: In Syria, there is a shaky partial ceasefire until March 9.
Saudi Arabia is voicing louder and louder, that it would use ground troops in Syria. 3 weeks  ago, the allies against Assad  met and discussed this procedure. The United States  welcomed  the Saudi plan – would, however, have to plan something more.

On the Turkish border with Syria, the Turkish 2nd Army is ready to build a security zone for its ISIS allies in Syria. However, Erdogan, who would  like to incorporate Syria into his Neo-Osman Caliphate, dares not go  alone. The US supports his enemies, the YPG Kurds, which has led to tensions between the US and Erdogan.

Erdogan is unpopular with  his military, which fear a war with Russia.
The military has 4 times deposed a Turkish head of government  or dictated his policy during the past 60 years. In addition, the army has no war experience, and the Turkish tanks are outdated and inferior as compared to the Syrian ones.

But with Erdogan you never can tell. Doctors in his Parliament consider him unstable and think he should be  in psychiatric care. Furthermore, it is unclear what secret agreements may exist after the February meeting with the US. The Russian Prime Minister Medvedev has said that ground troops in Syria would lead to a world war.

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There is a partial cease-fire in Syria – however the hunt for ISIS , Al Qaeda and other “moderate” opposition groups goes on.  On Thursday, US President Barack Obama said there were no illusions about the ceasefire and there were many reasons for scepticism. Turkey and the Kurdish organisation YPG have said they will respect this truce – and Turkey states it will not invade Syria.

But can Turkey accept that is ISIS brethren are being butchered – and stop supplying them?  Erdogan needs tension all the time to keep dissatisfied groups  like the Turkish Kurds and now his military, too, at bay. The military has previously deposed/dictated  politicians in Turkey 4 times. This could easily happen again – see item V below.
As the military is against Erdogan´s invasion of Syria – for “moral” reasons, because Turkish tanks are outdated and because it wouls mean a fatal war with Russia, Erdogan will probably not dare to invade Syria alone

So…

Russia Today 1 March 2016:  In an interview with Reuters, an aide to Saudi Arabia’s defense minister, Brigadier General Ahmed Asseri, confirmed that defense ministers from the anti-Islamic State (IS, formerly ISIS/ISIL) coalition debated placing ground troops on the ground in Syria during a ministerial meeting in Brussels last month.
Washington  confirmed and welcomed Saudi Arabia’s’ willingness to strike targets in Syria
“But there’s a lot that needs to be discussed”.  Washington will continue to support forces on the ground in Syria that fight against Islamic State terrorists.

Wbreedloveestern Propaganda is getting more and more mendacious: NATO General Philip Breedlove (right) now claims that “Russia is weopnizing refugees against th EU” – although Merkel´s and Soros´cooperation on destroying Europe had begun well before the Russian intervention. Fact is: NATO weaopnized the migrants against Europe.

Activist Post 24 Febr. 2016 describes collaboration between ISIS and Turkish officers on the Syrian-Turkish border based on information in the Turkish newspaper Comhuriyet.

erdogan-sultan-palaceErdogans new Sultan Palace  shows his megalomania

I have previously written about the psyche of the Turkish President, Recep Erdogan.  He is also an offshoot of the satanic Jewish-Muslim Sabbatai Zvi sect. Medical politicians in the Turkish Parliament have called Erdogan  unstable  and think that he should consult a psychiatrist. They think, Erdogan is dangerous.

Osman-empireVT 20 Febr. 2016: has a speculative acces through Erdogan´s obsession about reestablishing the Osman Empire.  Erdogan is a madman bent on world domination, nothing less.

We are in a dangerous game of high stakes poker as to who is bluffing and who is not, and what cards do the player really hold

Gordon Duff VT writes: 
I: Turkey and Saudi Arabia have made their plans
clear to an amazed world — a new Wahhabist empire, an “Islamic State, not the one the puppet front organization ISIS is running, but a real one with up to a million men in uniform, over three thousand modern combat aircraft and nuclear weapons.

Syria will fall to them, as will Iraq. They will take Jordan in a snap, crushing it from the north and south. The Gulf States are already onboard, willing members while Egypt may hold out a while, with Israel, as long as it survives, holding one flank while Libya is already “gone,” part of the secret Erdogan caliphate.

isis-caliphateThe threat is the creation of an autocratic terror state run by a madman,
a state of stonings and head choppings, a state of slavery and conquest, a state built on the Wahhabist extremism that created the model for ISIS but 30 times larger, encompassing North Africa, the Balkans to the Indus River.
Comment: Maybe – but not now – although this converges with ISIS´plan.

II: Erdogan has destroyed Germany’s Merkel, whose popularity is at an all-time low.
Erdogan has been very successful in the refugee war. It isn’t just the upheaval that has left the European Union in ruin. He has also filled Europe with terror cells and weapon caches, modeled on the Gladio model NATO had inflicted on itself, while attempts to resist these efforts are derailed via claims of racist bigotry and neo-fascism.

Erdogan´s  terror armies, ISIS, the FSA, al Nusra, can round up tens of thousands of Syrians and herd them to the Turkish border.
At will, Erdogan’s huge army trucks them to the coast and loads them onto boats, drowning some, pouring the rest into Greece, a nation he hates almost as much as he hates Russia and the Kurdish people.

Europe now lies prostrate at Erdogan’s feet.

When Russia announced it would wipe out any Saudi or Turkish forces moving into Syria, that looked like a nuclear threat. To counter it, Turkey was prepared to steal the NATO nuclear arsenal at Incirlik Air Base, 84 thermonuclear weapons.
This plan had long been underway with Saudi specialists trained in defeating the weapon safeguards.
Israel, also out of short sightedness, had upgraded Turkish F16s for service as nuclear bombers to use against Russia.

So far Gordon Duff of Veterans Today.

Now, the truth is that Erdogan has a very big mouth and very small fists. Time and again, he has launched bombastic statements – which he never implemented.
Many say Erdogan will not act on his own, invading Syria without US permission. Does he have US permission? NATO has stated  it will not help Turkey in a war with Russia.

Erdogan and Saudi Arabia will hardly invade Syria without US greenlight – because:

III: The Turkish tanks are no match to the Syrian/Kurdish ones – except perhaps as for quantity.
South Front 21 Febr. 2016:  The high level of proliferation of anti-tank guided missiles (ATGMs) and prolific supply of such missiles. Videos are intended to send a message to any would-be conventional invaders of Syria (and I guess that would be Turkey).

The Turkish military, by contrast, still relies mainly on unmodernized US-manufactured Patton-family tanks, with a smaller number of German Leopards, some of which may have been upgraded, but even those vehicles would fare poorly against even Faktoriya and Konkurs missiles, as did Saudi-crewed Abrams tanks operating against the Houthis in Yemen

Given the ease with which such weapons could be supplied in large numbers even by airlift, and the fact that once provided to Syrian Kurds they would quickly proliferate into Turkish Kurdistan, a Russian “asymmetric” response to the Turkish invasion would quickly lead to escalating Turkish military losses not only in Syria but also in Turkey. This is not something that Erdogan can afford to risk.

The Turkish  forces have major readiness and training problems, and if exposed to serious fighting it would quickly suffer major casualties, with the resulting political backlash threatening Turkey’s political stability.

IV: Erdogan´s blustering and sabre rattling
Russia Today 21 Febr. 2016: “Turkey has every right to conduct operations in Syria and the places where terror organizations are nested with regards to the struggle against the threats that Turkey faces,” Erdogan was cited as saying by the Hurriyet newspaper.
Erdogan warned that his government will treat “attitudes to prevent our country’s right [to self-defense] directly as an initiative against Turkey’s entity – no matter where it comes from.

Despite the Kurdistan Freedom Hawks (TAK) militant group claiming responsibility for the (false flag) attack in Ankara a few days ago, Turkey says the YPG was also involved.

DWN 21 Febr. 2016: Turkey has transferred multiple rocket systems of the classes TR-122 “Sakarya” and TR-300 “Kasirga” to the Turkish-Syrian border,  the newspaper Milliyet reports. Range or 100 and 40 Km. These are to be used in the Syrian province of Aleppo. Russia is apparently anticipating a possible confrontation: Moscow has postponed several military jets to one base in Armenia.

V: The Turkish Military does not support Erdogan
  The former head of the Intelligence Department of the General Staff of Turkey, Ismail Hakki Pekin, spoke to Sputnik in an exclusive interview saying that he was sure that the Turkish Armed Forces in Syria do not have those aspirations that guide Ankara.
But “Naturally, they are obliged to follow orders”.   Pekin further said that there is considerable opposition in the Turkish ranks towards the current situation.

V: The Turkish Military does not support Erdogan
VIsmael Hakieterans Today 24 Febr. 2016:  The former head of the Intelligence Department of the General Staff of Turkey, Ismail Hakki Pekin, spoke to Sputnik in an exclusive interview saying that he was sure that the Turkish Armed Forces in Syria do not have those aspirations that guide Ankara.
But “Naturally, they are obliged to follow orders”.   Pekin further said that there is considerable opposition in the Turkish ranks towards the current situation.

“There is an understanding that the overthrow of Assad, in fact, will not solve the problem.  “For many it is clear it is much more profitable to strengthen the Syrian regime and move military operations away from Turkish borders.”
“The slightest move into Syria’s inland threatens us with a clash with Russia. Meanwhile, there are signs that preparations for such an operation are being carried out.”

 

Comment
SYRIA-partition
The carving up of Syria has already been declared by Putin´s masters, the Rothschilds through their US mouthpiece,The Brookings Institution
The map right is from the 4th Media 6 Aug. 2015.
This map omits to prolong the Kurdish sector to the Mediterranean (left below)   – as wanted by the US – but opposed by Turkey.

kurdishsyrianstate

It is impossible to predict the moves of a madman. Hopefully, Erdogan has so much common sense that he will not invade Syria – or his military opponents will oust him.

But it will be very difficult for Erdogan to see a Kurdistan established on its Southern border.

Turkey is Obama´s ferocious watchdog in the Middle East – but it will hardly go on its own.

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